Sunday, November 28, 2010

A Gold Crown I Do Not Want

Gold is tracing out a classic head and shoulders pattern.  It is something I am watching with great interest.  According to Bulkowski, if the rise into this pattern is steep, the move down is more violent/deeper and if the neckline is upwardly sloping, the pattern has more validity.  But what bothers me, is it looks too pat, tracing right at fib lines, into a seasonal strong period and with uncertainty brewing internationally, suspect it is a shakeout not a decline.  I will look for a failure at the 50 EMA, and a retrace back to failing before I aggressively hedge/short my positions.

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